NOAA predicts above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
(Gray News) – The National Oceanic and Atmospheric istration predicts it will be an above-average 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
The outlook predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
NOAA predicts there will be between 13 and 19 named storms with about 10 becoming hurricanes.
Of those, the istration thinks three to five will become major hurricanes, described as category three or higher, with winds of 111 mph or higher.
NOAA has 70% confidence in these ranges, according to a news release.
“NOAA and the National Weather Service are using the most advanced weather models and cutting-edge hurricane tracking systems to provide Americans with real-time storm forecasts and warnings,” said Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. “With these models and forecasting tools, we have never been more prepared for hurricane season.”
According to NOAA, the season is expected to be above normal – due to a confluence of factors, including continued ENSO-neutral conditions, warmer than average ocean temperatures, forecasts for weak wind shear, and the potential for higher activity from the West African Monsoon, a primary starting point for Atlantic hurricanes.
The expectation of an above-average season comes as the federal agencies tasked with helping the communities deal with the storms struggle with preparedness.
NOAA and FEMA have both experienced cuts in staffing.
“As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities,” said Acting NOAA Laura Grimm. “NOAA is critical for the delivery of early and accurate forecasts and warnings, and provides the scientific expertise needed to save lives and property.”
Hurricane season goes from June 1 to November 30.
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